

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 31.01% ( | 24.89% ( | 44.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.49% ( | 46.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.21% ( | 68.79% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( | 28.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.04% ( | 63.96% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% | 21.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.02% ( | 53.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 2-0 @ 4.77% ( 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.01% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0-2 @ 7.21% ( 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 78 |
| 2 | Marseille | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Nice | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 54 |
| 5 | Lille | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 53 |
| 6 | Lyon | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 51 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 51 |
| 8 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 45 |
| 9 | Brest | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 | Rennes | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Reims | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
| 15 | Angers | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 30 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 33 | 64 | -31 | 27 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 27 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 15 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
