Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Al Ahly had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Al Ahly win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.