J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 1, 2025 at 7am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
1 - 1
Okayama

Phellype (65')
Phellype (33'), Okuno (45+2'), Tachi (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sato (37')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Fagiano Okayama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, May 25 at 6am in J1 League

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last Game: Okayama 2-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, May 25 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawFagiano Okayama
41.03% (-0.374 -0.37)28.2% (0.282 0.28)30.77% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.27% (-0.75 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.29% (-0.957 -0.96)59.71% (0.957 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.99% (-0.738 -0.74)80.01% (0.739 0.74)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (-0.666 -0.67)28.59% (0.667 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (-0.841 -0.84)64.39% (0.841 0.84)
Fagiano Okayama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (-0.441 -0.44)35.2% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.04% (-0.464 -0.46)71.96% (0.46299999999999 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 41.03%
    Fagiano Okayama 30.76%
    Draw 28.19%
Shonan BellmareDrawFagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 12.6% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.29% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 10.06% (0.353 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 10.5% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.49% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 30.76%