Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 1, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Gremio

Juventude
0 - 2
Gremio


Paulo (48'), Ruschel (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Braithwaite (13' pen.), Olivera (38')
Leonardo (66'), Martins (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Juventude
Tuesday, May 27 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Sportivo
Thursday, May 29 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
JuventudeDrawGremio
26.31% (0.163 0.16)25.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)48.24% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.64% (0.286 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46% (0.309 0.31)51.53% (-0.31 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (0.268 0.27)73.33% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (0.298 0.3)34.32% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (0.32 0.32)71.02% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (0.077999999999989 0.08)21.38% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (0.12 0.12)54.36% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Juventude 26.31%
    Gremio 48.23%
    Draw 25.45%
JuventudeDrawGremio
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.47% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.31% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.31%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 11.31% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 8.73% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.8% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 48.23%

How you voted: Juventude vs Gremio

Juventude
50.0%
Draw
12.5%
Gremio
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 34
Gremio
2-2
Juventude
Braithwaite (3'), Lucas (90+3' og.)
Pepe (8'), Costa (27'), Geromel (45+2')
Gustavo da Silva Machado Duarte (45+5'), Barbosa (52')
Barbosa (14'), Lucas (28'), Gustavo da Silva Machado Duarte (36'), Ewerton (61'), Jadson (90+3')
Jul 7, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 15
Juventude
3-0
Gremio
Gilberto (25'), Lucas (32'), Erick (83')
Barbosa (49')

Pavon (69'), Reinaldo (78'), Martins (90+3')
Oct 17, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 27
Gremio
3-2
Juventude
Costa (23'), Souza (24'), Villasanti (56')
Silva (86')
Vinicios (59'), Roberson (90+4')
Castilho (42'), Roberson (79'), Santos (89')
Jul 1, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 8
Juventude
2-0
Gremio
Paulinho (28'), Peixoto (83')
Elton (71'), Chico (82'), Mendes (90+3')
Nov 6, 2020 12.30am
Round of 16
Juventude
0-1
Gremio
Dalberto (18')
Isaque (37'), (85')