Brasileiro | Gameweek 15

Jul 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Juventude
vs.
Gremio

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventude

All competitions

Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Gremio

All competitions

Last Game: Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Following back-to-back away defeats, Juventude will be looking forward to returning to their home patch where they are yet to taste defeat this season. However, Gremio have been notably improved over the last couple of weeks and taking a point off the defending champions last time out would have done wonders for their confidence. This looks like a very even contest on paper and we feel these sides will have to settle for a share of the spoils at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Juventude win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Gremio has a probability of 31.56% and a draw has a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Gremio win is 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.13%).

Result
Juventude	Draw	Gremio
40.4% ( -0.03)	28.04% ( -0)	31.56% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 46.99% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.06% (

0.01)

58.94% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.58% (

79.42% (

-0)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42% (

-0.01)

28.58% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.63% (

-0.02)

64.37% (

0.02)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78% (

0.02)

34.22% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.09% (

0.02)

70.91% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Juventude 40.39%

Gremio 31.55%

Draw 28.04%

Juventude	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 40.39%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 31.55%