Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Jun 1, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
City Stadium

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
3 - 0
Molodechno

Harutyunyan (50'), Vegerya (65' pen.), Frantsuzov (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Usenya (42'), Vashkevich (43'), Koval (73')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and FC Molodechno.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Last Game: Isloch 4-0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Friday, May 23 at 4.30pm in Belarusian Premier League

FC Molodechno

All competitions
Last Game: Molodechno 0-1 Slutsk
Sunday, May 25 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for FC Molodechno had a probability of 19.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a FC Molodechno win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Dzerzhinsk would win this match.

Result
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawFC Molodechno
57.1% (-1 -1)23.26% (0.395 0.4)19.65% (0.609 0.61)
Both teams to score 50.36% (-0.201 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.75% (-0.783 -0.78)49.25% (0.78599999999999 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (-0.708 -0.71)71.31% (0.712 0.71)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (-0.627 -0.63)17.02% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.84% (-1.123 -1.12)47.16% (1.127 1.13)
FC Molodechno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69% (0.21700000000001 0.22)39.31% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99% (0.2 0.2)76.01% (-0.196 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 57.08%
    FC Molodechno 19.65%
    Draw 23.26%
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawFC Molodechno
1-0 @ 11.84% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.48% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 57.08%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.212 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.234 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.92% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.65%

rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MKK-Dnepr119202161529
2Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr117221911823
3Dinamo Minsk107211610623
4IslochIsloch1156023101321
5Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest1163222111121
6Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ11452117417
7FC MinskFC Minsk115241620-417
8Neman10505138515
9Gomel1143486215
10Vitebsk114251915414
11BATE BorisovBATE114251314-114
12Naftan113171021-1110
13Arsenal Dzerzhinsk111641218-69
14SlutskSlutsk11227817-98
15Smorgon11128619-135
16FC MolodechnoMolodechno110011529-240
> Belarusian Premier League Full Table


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