Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 7
May 2, 2025 at 6pm UK
City Stadium

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 - 1
BATE


Oreshkevich (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jean Charles Olivier (55')
Zhulpa (29'), Anufriev (56')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and BATE Borisov.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 1-1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Friday, April 25 at 6.45pm in Belarusian Premier League

BATE Borisov

All competitions
Last Game: BATE 2-0 Slutsk
Friday, April 25 at 4.45pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for BATE Borisov in this match.

Result
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawBATE Borisov
32.33% (0.011000000000003 0.01)27.98% (0.004999999999999 0)39.69% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.45% (-0.012 -0.01)58.55% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)79.12% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (0.00099999999999767 0)70.09%
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)28.79% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)64.64% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32.32%
    BATE Borisov 39.69%
    Draw 27.98%
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawBATE Borisov
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.62%
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.32%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.63% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 11.99%
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 39.69%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 11am
Gameweek 25
BATE
3-2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Aleksievich (30'), Rusenchik (53', 58')
Zhulpa (43'), Sotnikov (47'), Emmanuel Affi (85')
Vegerya (44'), Godyaev (55')
May 26, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 10
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2-0
BATE
Lovets (28'), Godyaev (32')
Harutyunyan (63'), Gerasimov (68'), Ageev (90+1')

Jimoh (30')
Nov 12, 2022 11am
Gameweek 30
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0-2
BATE
Gromyko (45'), Vasilevich (71')
Jul 15, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 15
BATE
1-2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Malkevich (14')
Bordachev (43'), Malkevich (78')
Vaskov (11'), Guletskiy (41')
Khvalko (23')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MKK-Dnepr119202161529
2Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr117221911823
3Dinamo Minsk107211610623
4IslochIsloch1156023101321
5Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest1163222111121
6Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ11452117417
7FC MinskFC Minsk115241620-417
8Neman10505138515
9Gomel1143486215
10Vitebsk114251915414
11BATE BorisovBATE114251314-114
12Naftan113171021-1110
13Arsenal Dzerzhinsk111641218-69
14SlutskSlutsk11227817-98
15Smorgon11128619-135
16FC MolodechnoMolodechno110011529-240
> Belarusian Premier League Full Table


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