Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
City Stadium

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 - 1
Vitebsk

Lovets (47')
Oreshkevich (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ksenofontov (64')
Makushinski (73')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Vitebsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

All competitions
Last Game: FC Minsk 2-2 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Saturday, May 10 at 1pm in Belarusian Premier League

Vitebsk

All competitions
Last Game: Vitebsk 4-1 Slutsk
Sunday, May 11 at 12pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 26.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawVitebsk
26.59% (-0.375 -0.38)27.86% (-0.316 -0.32)45.54% (0.686 0.69)
Both teams to score 44.99% (0.575 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.856 0.86)60.23% (-0.861 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.644 0.64)80.41% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.16% (0.15799999999999 0.16)38.83% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.43% (0.151 0.15)75.56% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)
Vitebsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (0.75 0.75)26.43% (-0.755 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.987 0.99)61.61% (-0.992 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 26.59%
    Vitebsk 45.53%
    Draw 27.85%
Arsenal DzerzhinskDrawVitebsk
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.275 -0.27)
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.59% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 1.93% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.28% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.59%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 10.26% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 13.65% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 9.09% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.03% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.072 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 45.53%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 18
Vitebsk
0-0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Guilherme Sales Freira (81')
Apr 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-1
Vitebsk
Sakuta (10')
Pogostnov (65'), Poznyak (77')
Teverov (41')
Vardanyan (66')
Aug 20, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 18
Vitebsk
3-0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Teverov (10' pen., 43' pen.), Zhumabekov (12')
Kocharyan (11'), Volkov (30')

Kontsevoy (6')
Skshinecki (9')
Apr 11, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0-0
Vitebsk
Vegerya (34'), Skshinecki (64')