While Juventude saw their wastefulness cost them in the last match, they have been solid at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi in the early stages of this season and will feel that this is a match they can genuinely get three points from. The visitors have lost four in a row on the road this term, failed to score in their last two away games, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.

Result
Juventude	Draw	Vasco da Gama
45.91% ( 0.21)	26.91% ( -0)	27.19% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 48.03% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.44% (

-0.09)

56.56% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.46% (

-0.07)

77.54% (

0.08)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.41% (

0.06)

24.59% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.91% (

0.09)

59.09% (

-0.08)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69% (

-0.22)

36.31% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9% (

-0.22)

73.1% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Juventude 45.9%

Vasco da Gama 27.19%

Draw 26.91%

Juventude	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.9%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.19%