Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, April 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-4 Criciuma
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
60.08% ( -1.15) | 21.47% ( 0.54) | 18.45% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
