Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena de Baixada
Athletico PR6 - 0Rayo Zuliano
FT(HT: 4-0)
Corredor (13')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Athletico Paranaense and Rayo Zuliano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ameliano 1-4 Athletico PR
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Rayo Zuliano 0-2 Danubio
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 81.4%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Rayo Zuliano had a probability of 5.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.44%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.09%), while for a Rayo Zuliano win it was 0-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Rayo Zuliano |
81.4% ( -0.68) | 12.86% ( 0.48) | 5.74% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 39.9% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.78% ( -1.5) | 38.22% ( 1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.51% ( -1.61) | 60.5% ( 1.61) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.77% ( -0.45) | 7.23% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.78% ( -1.22) | 26.23% ( 1.22) |
| Rayo Zuliano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.01% ( -0.38) | 56.99% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 10.97% ( -0.21) | 89.03% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Athletico Paranaense 81.38%
Rayo Zuliano 5.74%
Draw 12.86%
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Rayo Zuliano |
| 2-0 @ 14.21% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.51)4-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 8% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.23% Total : 81.38% | 1-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 2.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 12.86% | 0-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.72% Total : 5.74% |
