Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Boca Juniors1 - 1Fortaleza
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Boca Juniors and Fortaleza.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Boca Juniors
Monday, May 13 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, May 13 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Botafogo
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Fortaleza |
55.08% ( -0.37) | 24.77% ( 0.12) | 20.15% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 46.7% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
