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Copa Libertadores
Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
2 - 0
Bolivar

Araujo (30'), Pereira (89')
Pulgar (52'), de la Cruz (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Justiniano (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Bolivar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, August 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Bolivar

All competitions
Last Game: Bolivar 3-1 Palestino
Wednesday, May 29 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Flamengo 2-0 Bolivar

 Flamengo will be sick of the sight of Palmeiras, having faced their domestic rivals in two of their three-match winless sequence. Tite's side should return to winning ways against in-form Bolivar on Thursday, keen to put their recent dip behind them and continue an unblemished continental run on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 13.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Bolivar win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawBolivar
69.1% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27) 17.72% (0.141 0.14) 13.18% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.59% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.53% (-0.335 -0.34)36.47% (0.337 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.39% (-0.366 -0.37)58.61% (0.369 0.37)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.45% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)9.55% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.02% (-0.358 -0.36)31.98% (0.361 0.36)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.35% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)39.65% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)76.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 69.1%
    Bolivar 13.18%
    Draw 17.72%
FlamengoDrawBolivar
2-0 @ 10.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 8.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.56% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.44% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 69.1%
1-1 @ 8.23% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.72%
1-2 @ 3.81% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.5% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.62% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 13.18%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Bolivar

Flamengo
83.3%
Draw
11.1%
Bolivar
5.6%
18
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Flamengo
4-0
Bolivar
Gerson (1'), Lucas (38'), Everton (43'), Pedro (56')
Savio (89')

Sagredo (6'), Barbosa (89'), Savio (89')
Apr 25, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
2-1
Flamengo
Da Costa (2'), Savio (62')
Vina (5')
rhs 2.0
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