Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.51%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.