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Adelaide United
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Sydney FC
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Mar 29, 2025 at 6am UK
Allianz Stadium
Melbourne City

Sydney FC
2 - 3
Melbourne City

FT(HT: 2-2)
Memeti (5'), Caputo (35'), Lopane (61')
Behich (45+5'), Atkinson (59'), Beach (79'), Wong (90+5')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Wellington
Sunday, March 16 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Wednesday, March 12 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne City
50.03% (0.221 0.22) 21.12% (-0.035 -0.04) 28.84% (-0.188 -0.19)
Both teams to score 68.94% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.26% (0.036000000000001 0.04)29.74% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.13% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.87% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (0.079999999999998 0.08)12.49% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.53% (0.166 0.17)38.46% (-0.168 -0.17)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78% (-0.089999999999989 -0.09)21.22% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88% (-0.14 -0.14)54.12% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 50.03%
    Melbourne City 28.84%
    Draw 21.12%
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.74% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.78% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.21% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.013 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 50.03%
1-1 @ 8.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.12%
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.84%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 6.40am
Gameweek 18
Sydney FC
1-1
Melbourne City
Courtney-Perkins (29')
Brattan (43'), Burgess (84'), Redmayne (87')
Tilio (61')
Lopane (76')
Nov 3, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 3
Melbourne City
2-0
Sydney FC
Ugarkovic (45'), MacLaren (46')
Talbot (30'), Good (56')

King (26'), Wood (38')
May 19, 2023 10.45am
Melbourne City
4-0
Sydney FC
Good (37'), Rodwell (59' og.), Tilio (67'), Van der Venne (82')
Lam (45+2')

King (28'), Brattan (43')
Burgess (20')
May 12, 2023 10.45am
Feb 25, 2023 6am
Gameweek 18
Melbourne City
3-2
Sydney FC
MacLaren (5', 30'), Tilio (13')
Mak (28'), Caballo (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC26158349272253
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City26146641251648
3Western UnitedWestern Utd26145755371847
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney26137658401846
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2612774436843
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2610885355-238
7Sydney FCSydney FC2610795346737
8Macarthur2696115045533
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2686124344-130
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast26511102951-2226
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2666142743-1624
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2656153251-1921
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2645172256-3417


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