

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 50.03% ( | 21.12% ( | 28.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 68.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.26% ( | 29.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.13% ( | 50.87% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% ( | 12.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.53% ( | 38.46% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% ( | 21.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.88% ( | 54.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 1-0 @ 5.51% ( 3-2 @ 4.78% ( 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 4-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 4-3 @ 1.28% ( 5-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.56% Total : 50.03% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0-0 @ 2.65% ( 3-3 @ 2.47% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.12% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 3-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 48 |
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 47 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 46 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 43 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 26 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 21 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 56 | -34 | 17 |
| > Australian A-League Full Table | |||||||||
