Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.