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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Monaco

Lens
4 - 0
Monaco

El Aynaoui (21', 56'), Thomasson (73'), Zaroury (78')
Medina (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Diatta (45+1')
Magassa (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Lens
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Lyon
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawMonaco
40.9% (0.304 0.3)24.13% (0.316 0.32)34.98% (-0.618 -0.62)
Both teams to score 60.68% (-1.299 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23% (-1.644 -1.64)41.77% (1.646 1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83% (-1.677 -1.68)64.17% (1.679 1.68)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (-0.559 -0.56)20.6% (0.56 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.86% (-0.892 -0.89)53.14% (0.894 0.89)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42% (-1.09 -1.09)23.58% (1.092 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35% (-1.603 -1.6)57.65% (1.604 1.6)
Score Analysis
    Lens 40.9%
    Monaco 34.98%
    Draw 24.12%
LensDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.67% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.24 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.351 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.294 0.29)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.98%

How you voted: Lens vs Monaco

Lens
29.5%
Draw
11.4%
Monaco
59.1%
44
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 3
Monaco
1-1
Lens
Zakaria (84')
Vanderson (54')
Frankowski (90+4' pen.)
Gradit (9'), Aguilar (34'), Sotoca (39'), Labeau (68'), Still (81')
Feb 25, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 23
Lens
2-3
Monaco
Wahi (31'), Said (77')
Haise (26'), Medina (45+3'), Thomasson (53'), Mendy (64'), Samba (82'), Wahi (90+5')
Balogun (19'), Samba (30' og.), Minamino (90+2')
Ouattara (25'), Majecki (90+6'), Diop (90+5'), Majecki (90+6')
Jan 7, 2024 1.30pm
Round of 64
Lens
2-2
Monaco
(Aggregate 2-2 | Monaco win 6-5 on penalties)
Maouassa (43'), Sotoca (62')
Maouassa (45+2'), Samba (45+2'), Frankowski (88')
Haise (24')
Ben Yedder (1'), Akliouche (21')
Akliouche (53'), Majecki (79')
Sep 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Monaco
3-0
Lens
Singo (24'), Golovin (36'), Maripan (59')
Magassa (33'), Camara (47'), Vanderson (52'), Balogun (78')

Spierings (23'), Medina (64')
Apr 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 32
Lens
3-0
Monaco
Openda (9', 16'), Thomasson (56')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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