Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
40.9% (![]() | 24.13% (![]() | 34.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.23% (![]() | 41.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.83% (![]() | 64.17% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.4% (![]() | 20.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.86% (![]() | 53.14% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.42% (![]() | 23.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.35% (![]() | 57.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 8.76% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 40.9% | 1-1 @ 11.08% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 8.01% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |