Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1

Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Saint-Etienne

Lens
1 - 0
St Etienne

Machado (12'), Koyalipou (75')
Machado (19'), Medina (30'), Ojediran (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Macon (32'), Bouchouari (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 1-6 PSG
Saturday, March 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 11.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawSaint-Etienne
69.81% (0.081000000000003 0.08)18.27% (0.012 0.01)11.92% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.54% (-0.32 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.64% (-0.273 -0.27)42.36% (0.282 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24% (-0.275 -0.27)64.76% (0.283 0.28)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.03% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)10.97% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.79% (-0.12 -0.12)35.21% (0.128 0.13)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.52% (-0.324 -0.32)45.48% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.69% (-0.257 -0.26)81.31% (0.26599999999999 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Lens 69.8%
    Saint-Etienne 11.92%
    Draw 18.27%
LensDrawSaint-Etienne
2-0 @ 12.18% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.98% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.96% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 69.8%
1-1 @ 8.69% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 18.27%
0-1 @ 3.93% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 11.92%

How you voted: Lens vs St Etienne

Lens
90.5%
Draw
0.0%
Saint-Etienne
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 8
St Etienne
0-2
Lens

Amougou (61')
Frankowski (20'), Labeau (79')
Medina (31'), N'Zola (56')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 21
St Etienne
1-2
Lens
Boudebouz (38')
Silva (90')
Sotoca (77'), Fofana (90+4')
Gradit (30')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 2
Lens
2-2
St Etienne
Ganago (36'), Fofana (77')
Medina (18')
Khazri (1'), Bouanga (52')
Hamouma (29'), Sow (41'), Bouanga (57'), Gourna-Douath (85'), Macon (86'), Aouchiche (90+4')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 28
St Etienne
2-3
Lens
Moukoudi (40'), Bouanga (90+4' pen.)
Moukoudi (19'), Debuchy (26'), Gourna-Douath (66')
Sotoca (20' pen.), Kalimuendo (24'), Costa (90+2')
Banza (77'), Sotoca (85')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 6
Lens
2-0
St Etienne
Kakuta (15' pen.), Sotoca (82')
Kakuta (68')

Macon (64')
Kolodziejczak (14'), Khazri (64')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!