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Ligue 1

Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Saint-Etienne

Lens
1 - 0
St Etienne

Machado (12'), Koyalipou (75')
Machado (19'), Medina (30'), Ojediran (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Macon (32'), Bouchouari (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 1-6 PSG
Saturday, March 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 11.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawSaint-Etienne
69.81% (0.081000000000003 0.08)18.27% (0.012 0.01)11.92% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.54% (-0.32 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.64% (-0.273 -0.27)42.36% (0.282 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24% (-0.275 -0.27)64.76% (0.283 0.28)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.03% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)10.97% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.79% (-0.12 -0.12)35.21% (0.128 0.13)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.52% (-0.324 -0.32)45.48% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.69% (-0.257 -0.26)81.31% (0.26599999999999 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Lens 69.8%
    Saint-Etienne 11.92%
    Draw 18.27%
LensDrawSaint-Etienne
2-0 @ 12.18% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.98% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.96% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 69.8%
1-1 @ 8.69% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 18.27%
0-1 @ 3.93% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 11.92%

How you voted: Lens vs St Etienne

Lens
90.5%
Draw
0.0%
Saint-Etienne
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 8
St Etienne
0-2
Lens

Amougou (61')
Frankowski (20'), Labeau (79')
Medina (31'), N'Zola (56')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 21
St Etienne
1-2
Lens
Boudebouz (38')
Silva (90')
Sotoca (77'), Fofana (90+4')
Gradit (30')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 2
Lens
2-2
St Etienne
Ganago (36'), Fofana (77')
Medina (18')
Khazri (1'), Bouanga (52')
Hamouma (29'), Sow (41'), Bouanga (57'), Gourna-Douath (85'), Macon (86'), Aouchiche (90+4')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 28
St Etienne
2-3
Lens
Moukoudi (40'), Bouanga (90+4' pen.)
Moukoudi (19'), Debuchy (26'), Gourna-Douath (66')
Sotoca (20' pen.), Kalimuendo (24'), Costa (90+2')
Banza (77'), Sotoca (85')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 6
Lens
2-0
St Etienne
Kakuta (15' pen.), Sotoca (82')
Kakuta (68')

Macon (64')
Kolodziejczak (14'), Khazri (64')
> Preview