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Ligue 1

Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Rennes

Lens
1 - 0
Rennes

Said (47')
El Aynaoui (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kalimuendo (36')
Matusiwa (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Lens
Saturday, March 8 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Rennes

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 1-4 PSG
Saturday, March 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.

Result
LensDrawRennes
38.45% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)25.74% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)35.81% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 55.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.92% (0.030999999999999 0.03)49.07% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84% (0.026 0.03)71.15% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.04% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (0.024000000000001 0.02)59.72% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (0.016000000000005 0.02)26.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (0.018999999999998 0.02)61.72% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lens 38.45%
    Rennes 35.81%
    Draw 25.74%
LensDrawRennes
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.45%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 35.81%

How you voted: Lens vs Rennes

Lens
36.4%
Draw
9.1%
Rennes
54.5%
33
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 5
Rennes
1-1
Lens
Kalimuendo (24' pen.)
Blas (45'), Hateboer (90+9')
N'Zola (90+6')
Labeau (34'), Medina (74'), Ojediran (77'), Said (90+10')
> Preview
May 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 33
Rennes
1-1
Lens
Salah (82')
Seidu (43'), Wooh (83')
Fulgini (48')
Costa (21'), Medina (35'), Sotoca (88')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Lens
1-1
Rennes
Machado (3')
Abdul Samed (51'), Gradit (79')
Bourigeaud (53' pen.)
Omari (57')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Rennes
0-1
Lens
Openda (31')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Lens
2-1
Rennes
Fofana (66'), Openda (70')
Laborde (90+1')
Doue (44')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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