

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38%. A win for Lens had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lens |
| 38% ( | 24.52% ( | 37.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.63% ( | 43.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.24% ( | 65.76% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( | 22.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.64% ( | 56.36% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( | 22.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.24% ( | 56.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
| 2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
| 3 | Nice | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 47 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
| 5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
| 8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
| 15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
