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National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bloomfields
Chorley

Needham Market
2 - 1
Chorley

Morphew (75'), Ingram (90+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hall (25')
Ellis (90+3')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Needham Market and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 5-0 Needham Market
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-0 Chorley
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Needham MarketDrawChorley
29.99% (-0.073 -0.07) 28.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.43% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Both teams to score 44.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.75% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)61.25% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.82% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)81.18% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Needham Market Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)36.63% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58% (-0.096 -0.1)73.42% (0.095000000000013 0.1)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)65.04% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Needham Market 29.98%
    Chorley 41.43%
    Draw 28.57%
Needham MarketDrawChorley
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 6.64% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 29.98%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.57%
0-1 @ 13.16% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.12% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03%
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 41.43%

Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Chorley
1-0
Needham Market
Hewitt (35')
Ellis (76')

Tomlinson (68'), Valentine (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster442681080344686
2Brackley Town442751268422686
3Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe442412870304084
4Chester FCChester442312968442481
5Hereford UnitedHereford4422101267452276
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn442210125142976
7Buxton442351672492374
8Chorley4420131166481873
9Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton4421101355401573
10Spennymoor TownSpennymoor4419131273502370
11Darlington441715125852666
12Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports441711165451362
13Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath441512176257557
14Alfreton TownAlfreton441413175056-655
15Marine AFC441510194054-1455
16Leamington FCLeamington44159205153-254
17South Shields44166225967-854
18RadcliffeRadcliffe441311205569-1450
19Oxford CityOxford City441214185572-1750
20SouthportSouthport441213194157-1649
21Needham Market44109254372-2939
22Rushall Olympic4498274090-5035
23Warrington Town44612263468-3430
24Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic44753235105-7026


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