Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 14.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-0 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
14.07% (![]() | 18.99% (![]() | 66.94% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.56% (![]() | 40.43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.19% (![]() | 62.81% (![]() |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.1% (![]() | 40.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.53% (![]() | 77.47% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.82% (![]() | 11.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.33% (![]() | 35.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 4.09% (![]() 2-1 @ 4% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 1.65% Total : 14.07% | 1-1 @ 8.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.99% | 0-2 @ 10.97% (![]() 0-1 @ 10.01% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.81% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 4.02% Total : 66.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 32 | 57 | 76 |
2 | Real Madrid | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 66 | 31 | 35 | 72 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 66 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 60 |
5 | Villarreal | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 54 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 46 |
8 | Osasuna | 33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
9 | Mallorca | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 44 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 42 |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Espanyol | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 39 |
14 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 37 |
16 | GironaGirona | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 35 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 34 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 32 |
19 | Leganes | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 30 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 24 | 81 | -57 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |