La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 6, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Las Palmas1 - 3Real Sociedad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Las Palmas
Monday, March 31 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, March 31 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Las Palmas 1-1 Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad have not actually won away from home in La Liga since the start of December, so it is difficult to back them with any real confidence here; Las Palmas have their own issues, but we are expecting the home side to be good enough for a point this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Real Sociedad |
31.99% ( 1.36) | 26.1% ( 0.3) | 41.91% ( -1.66) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
