Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 34.72% ( | 26.54% ( | 38.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% ( | 52.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% ( | 74.23% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( | 28.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.28% ( | 64.72% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( | 26.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.31% ( | 61.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0-2 @ 6.74% ( 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.73% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
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