Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Real Valladolid | 
| 36.23% (  -1.11) | 24.88% (  -0.47) | 38.88% (  1.58) | 
| Both teams to score 58.12% (  1.63) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.83% (  2.13) | 45.17% (  -2.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.49% (  2.01) | 67.51% (  -2.01) | 
| Las Palmas Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.54% (  0.37) | 24.46% (  -0.37) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% (  0.52) | 58.9% (  -0.52) | 
| Real Valladolid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.94% (  1.79) | 23.05% (  -1.79) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% (  2.56) | 56.88% (  -2.56) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Las Palmas | Draw | Real Valladolid | 
| 2-1 @ 8.2% (  -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.94% (  -0.66) 2-0 @ 5.59% (  -0.4) 3-1 @ 3.85% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.83% (  0.13) 3-0 @ 2.62% (  -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.36% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 1% (  0.06) 4-0 @ 0.92% (  -0.04) Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 11.65% (  -0.31) 2-2 @ 6.02% (  0.22) 0-0 @ 5.64% (  -0.53) 3-3 @ 1.38% (  0.13) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.55% (  0.22) 0-1 @ 8.27% (  -0.32) 0-2 @ 6.07% (  0.09) 1-3 @ 4.18% (  0.31) 0-3 @ 2.97% (  0.19) 2-3 @ 2.94% (  0.25) 1-4 @ 1.53% (  0.19) 0-4 @ 1.09% (  0.12) 2-4 @ 1.08% (  0.14) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.88% |