Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Girona |
| 30.19% ( | 25.07% ( | 44.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.32% ( | 47.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( | 69.87% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% ( | 29.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.62% ( | 65.37% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.67% ( | 21.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.71% ( | 54.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 4-1 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.19% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0-3 @ 3.85% ( 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 44.74% |