

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44%. A win for Girona had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona | 
| 44% (  -0) | 25.62% (  -0) | 30.38% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 53.83% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.04% (  0.01) | 49.96% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.06% (  0.01) | 71.95% (  -0) | 
| Celta Vigo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.36% (  0) | 22.64% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.73% (  0) | 56.27% | 
| Girona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.59% (  0.01) | 30.42% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.38% (  0.01) | 66.62% (  -0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona | 
| 1-0 @ 10.22% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.6% (  -0) 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-0 @ 3.76% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 0.99% (  0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.89% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.38% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.2% 1-2 @ 7.25% (  0) 0-2 @ 4.88% (  0) 1-3 @ 2.87% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.14% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.94% (  0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.38% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
