

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Girona had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona | 
| 37.59% (  0.7) | 25.41% (  -0.16) | 36.99% (  -0.54) | 
| Both teams to score 56.28% (  0.55) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.44% (  0.7) | 47.56% (  -0.7) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.23% (  0.65) | 69.76% (  -0.65) | 
| Celta Vigo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.18% (  0.71) | 24.82% (  -0.71) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.6% (  0.98) | 59.4% (  -0.98) | 
| Girona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.85% (  0.02) | 25.14% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.14% (  0.04) | 59.85% (  -0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Girona | 
| 1-0 @ 8.7% (  -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.37% (  0.1) 2-0 @ 6.06% (  0.07) 3-1 @ 3.89% (  0.13) 3-0 @ 2.82% (  0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% (  0.09) 4-1 @ 1.35% (  0.07) 4-0 @ 0.98% (  0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% (  0.05) Other @ 1.82% Total : 37.59% | 1-1 @ 12% (  -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.24% (  -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.78% (  0.08) 3-3 @ 1.24% (  0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.61% (  -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.29% (  -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.95% (  -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.81% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.74% (  -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.66% (  0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% (  -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% (  -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.92% (  0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.99% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
