

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 32.8% ( | 28.87% ( | 38.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.42% ( | 61.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.57% ( | 81.43% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% ( | 34.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.54% ( | 71.46% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.9% ( | 31.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.58% ( | 67.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 3-2 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 32.8% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.79% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.86% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 38.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 95 | 36 | 59 | 82 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 75 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 70 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 64 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 47 | 14 | 61 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 58 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 52 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 47 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 47 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
| 11 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 43 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | GironaGirona | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 39 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 39 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 35 |
| 18 | Leganes | 35 | 7 | 13 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 34 |
| 19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 36 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 16 |
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