

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
| 56.07% ( | 25.21% ( | 18.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.27% ( | 57.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.52% ( | 78.48% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( | 20.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.84% ( | 53.16% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.69% ( | 45.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.82% ( | 81.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.74% ( 2-0 @ 11.64% ( 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.92% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 56.06% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-2 @ 3.65% ( Other @ 0.55% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.59% Total : 18.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 32 | 57 | 76 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 65 | 31 | 34 | 69 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 57 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Mallorca | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 44 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Getafe | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 39 |
| 14 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 34 |
| 17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 32 |
| 18 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Leganes | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 29 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 23 | 76 | -53 | 16 |
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