La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 23, 2025 at 6pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Las Palmas

Williams (5')
Berchiche (11')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bajcetic (27'), McBurnie (53'), Suarez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, April 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-0 Atletico
Saturday, April 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Las Palmas
73.62% ( 0.61)	16.5% ( -0.3)	9.88% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 47.44% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.06% (

0.49)

39.94% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.7% (

0.51)

62.3% (

-0.51)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.62% (

0.27)

9.38% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.42% (

0.64)

31.57% (

-0.64)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.35% (

-0.28)

47.64% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.03% (

-0.2)

82.97% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 73.61%

Las Palmas 9.88%

Draw 16.5%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Las Palmas
2-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.66% Total : 73.61%	1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.75% Total : 16.5%	0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 9.88%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Las Palmas

Athletic Bilbao

86.1%

Draw

10.1%

Las Palmas

3.8%

Head to Head

Sep 15, 2024 5.30pm

Gameweek 5

Las Palmas

2-3

Athletic Bilbao

Ramirez (58'), Munoz (83')
Suarez (27')

Sancet (7'), Williams (30'), Paredes (76')
Jauregizar (22'), Ruiz de Galarreta (45+2')
Jauregizar (56')

> Preview

Mar 10, 2024 3.15pm

Gameweek 28

Las Palmas

0-2

Athletic Bilbao

Coco (64'), Cardona (81'), Valles (82')

Guruzeta (31'), Coco (65' og.)
Vivian (48'), de Marcos (67'), Paredes (90+2')

> Preview

Dec 20, 2023 8.30pm

Gameweek 18

Athletic Bilbao

1-0

Las Palmas

Gomez (90+4')
Williams (90+6')

Araujo (38'), Perrone (68'), Cardona (90+6')

> Preview

Feb 9, 2018 8pm

Athletic Bilbao

0-0

Las Palmas

Aduriz (12'), Saborit (51'), Arrizabalaga (52'), Garcia (77')

Navarro (12'), Calleri (41'), Macedo (59'), Chichizola (79')

Sep 17, 2017 5.30pm

Las Palmas

1-0

Athletic Bilbao

Remy (87')
Calleri (58'), Tannane (63')

Laporte (60'), Aduriz (64'), Vesga (77')

Form Guide

Real Madrid 1-0 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Rangers

Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Rayo Vallecano

Rangers 0-0 Athletic Bilbao

Villarreal 0-0 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Osasuna

Las Palmas 1-0 Atletico

Getafe 1-3 Las Palmas

Las Palmas 1-3 Real Sociedad

Celta Vigo 1-1 Las Palmas

Las Palmas 2-2 Alaves

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102	39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78	38	40	84
3	Atletico Madrid Atletico	38	22	10	6	68	30	38	76
4	Athletic Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54	29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71	51	20	70
6	Real Betis Betis	38	16	12	10	57	50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59	57	2	55
8	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4	52
9	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9	48
11	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10	46
12	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5	42
14	Alaves Alaves	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10	42
15	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11	42
16	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13	41
17	Girona Girona	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17	40
R	Las Palmas Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21	32
R	Real Valladolid Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64	16
					> La Liga Full Table