La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 23, 2025 at 6pm UK
San Mames Barria
Athletic Bilbao1 - 0Las Palmas
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, April 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
49
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-0 Atletico
Saturday, April 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, April 19 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
38
We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Las Palmas
While Valverde is evidently prioritising the Europa League, they will still be clear favourites here, and with good reason, given their excellent form at home. Las Palmas' final five matches after this encounter are all against teams placed 10th or lower, so defeat here should not be too damaging, as those games will define their season instead. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.57%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Las Palmas |
73.62% ( 0.61) | 16.5% ( -0.3) | 9.88% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 47.44% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
