La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Athletic Bilbao3 - 1Rayo Vallecano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rangers 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, April 10 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, April 10 at 8pm in Europa League
Goals
for
for
46
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-4 Espanyol
Friday, April 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, April 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
33
We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Athletic have found it difficult to win matches of late, and the same can also be said for Rayo, so we are expecting a tight match in terms of the scoreline; Athletic can call upon the greater quality, though, and with home advantage, we are backing Valverde's side to put an important three points on the board. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
61.42% ( -0.13) | 22.25% ( 0.05) | 16.33% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.33% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
