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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Sevilla has a probability of 34.66% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Sevilla win is 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.98%).
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sevilla | 
| 37.9% (  -0.02) | 27.44% (  -0) | 34.66% (  0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 49.42% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.79% (  0.01) | 56.21% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.74% (  0.01) | 77.26% (  -0) | 
| Rayo Vallecano Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.3% (  -0.01) | 28.7% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.48% (  -0.01) | 64.53% (  0.01) | 
| Sevilla Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.31% (  0.02) | 30.69% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.05% (  0.02) | 66.95% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sevilla | 
| 1-0 @ 10.99% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.11% (  -0) 2-0 @ 6.86% (  -0) 3-1 @ 3.37% (  -0) 3-0 @ 2.86% (  -0) 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.05% (  -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.89% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.81% (  -0) 2-2 @ 4.79% (  0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 7.67% (  0) 0-2 @ 6.14% (  0) 1-3 @ 3.02% (  0) 0-3 @ 2.42% (  0) 2-3 @ 1.89% (  0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.65% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
