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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
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Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Rayo Vallecano logo

Osasuna
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Garcia (59')
Ibanez (40'), Moncayola (72'), Areso (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Camello (19')
Valentin (38'), Batalla (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Osasuna
Thursday, January 16 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Thursday, January 16 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Osasuna 1-0 Rayo Vallecano

Osasuna beat Rayo 1-0 in the corresponding fixture during the 2024-25 campaign, and we can see the the same scoreline here; Moreno's team have been strong at home this term and could shade a close contest at El Sadar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
OsasunaDrawRayo Vallecano
37.02% (0.274 0.27) 27.76% (0.195 0.2) 35.22% (-0.47 -0.47)
Both teams to score 48.5% (-0.624 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.63% (-0.765 -0.77)57.37% (0.764 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.81% (-0.611 -0.61)78.19% (0.611 0.61)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)29.79% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13% (-0.255 -0.25)65.87% (0.25500000000001 0.26)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08% (-0.68000000000001 -0.68)30.92% (0.68 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79% (-0.805 -0.81)67.21% (0.80499999999999 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 37.02%
    Rayo Vallecano 35.22%
    Draw 27.76%
OsasunaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.15% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 37.02%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.21% (0.266 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.76%
0-1 @ 10.81% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.35% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.22%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano

Osasuna
56.0%
Draw
33.3%
Rayo Vallecano
10.7%
75
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
3-1
Osasuna
Mumin (50'), Ratiu (66'), Lopez (90+5')
Camello (59'), Mumin (78'), Lopez (89')
Garcia (27')
Zaragoza (19'), Moreno (20'), Moncayola (42')
Apr 20, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 32
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Osasuna
Chavarria (80'), Isi (84')
Valentin (45'), Lopez (46'), Ciss (51'), Isi (86')
Gomez (29')
Munoz (48')
Dec 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Osasuna
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Garcia (90+5')
Arnaiz (74'), Garcia (90+6')

Espino (40'), Ciss (55'), Perez (55')
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Osasuna
Hernandez (40' og.), Isi (43')
Gomez (66')
Sep 4, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 4
Osasuna
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Oroz (54'), Garcia (90')
Lejeune (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico33199556272966
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal331510856451155
6Real BetisBetis3315995041954
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Osasuna33101494046-644
9Mallorca33128133138-744
10Real Sociedad33126153237-542
11Rayo Vallecano331011123542-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol33109143542-739
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla33910143544-937
16GironaGirona3398164052-1235
17AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes33612153049-1930
20Real ValladolidValladolid3344252481-5716


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