

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 47.82% (  -0.01) | 25.33% | 26.85% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 52.46% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.33% (  0.01) | 50.67% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.42% (  0.01) | 72.58% (  -0) | 
| Real Betis Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.8% (  0) | 21.2% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.91% (  0) | 54.09% (  0) | 
| Rayo Vallecano Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.58% (  0.01) | 33.42% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.95% (  0.01) | 70.05% (  -0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 8.53% (  -0) 3-1 @ 4.83% 3-0 @ 4.41% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.71% (  -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.47% Total : 47.82% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.09% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.12% (  0) 3-3 @ 0.97% (  0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 7.77% (  0) 1-2 @ 6.6% (  0) 0-2 @ 4.26% (  0) 1-3 @ 2.41% (  0) 2-3 @ 1.87% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.56% (  0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.85% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
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