

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 33.84% (  -0.27) | 28.56% (  0.1) | 37.6% (  0.17) | 
| Both teams to score 46.01% (  -0.33) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 39.62% (  -0.39) | 60.38% (  0.39) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 19.47% (  -0.3) | 80.53% (  0.3) | 
| Real Betis Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.63% (  -0.39) | 33.37% (  0.39) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.01% (  -0.43) | 69.99% (  0.43) | 
| Rayo Vallecano Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.06% (  -0.09) | 30.94% (  0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.76% (  -0.11) | 67.24% (  0.11) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 1-0 @ 11.33% (  0.05) 2-1 @ 7.3% (  -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.22% (  -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.67% (  -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.28% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.57% (  -0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 13.29% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 10.32% (  0.15) 2-2 @ 4.28% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 12.11% (  0.15) 1-2 @ 7.8% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.11% (  0.07) 1-3 @ 3.05% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.78% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 37.6% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 36 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 97 | 36 | 61 | 85 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 78 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 29 | 31 | 70 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 53 | 26 | 27 | 67 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 64 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 59 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 52 | 
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 48 | 
| 9 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 48 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 47 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 45 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 43 | 
| 13 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 41 | 
| 14 | GironaGirona | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 41 | 
| 15 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 39 | 
| 16 | Espanyol | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 39 | 
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 38 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 34 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 36 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 16 | 
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