

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 26.11% ( | 26.04% ( | 47.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.02% ( | 53.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.58% ( | 75.43% ( |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% ( | 35.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.42% ( | 72.59% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( | 22.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.84% ( | 56.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 2-0 @ 4.26% ( 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 3-0 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 26.11% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0-2 @ 8.96% ( 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0-3 @ 4.44% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0-4 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 47.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 99 | 39 | 60 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 81 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 64 | 30 | 34 | 73 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 70 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 67 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 59 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 52 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 51 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 46 |
| 12 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 45 |
| 13 | Getafe | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 41 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 41 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 39 |
| 18 | Leganes | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 37 |
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 26 | 87 | -61 | 16 |
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