| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sevilla | 37 | 22 | 67 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 4 | 62 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Barcelona | 37 | 32 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 37 | 21 | 68 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 37 | 22 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 33.07% | 25.95% | 40.98% |
| Both teams to score 53.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% | 50.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% | 72.36% |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% | 28.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.29% | 64.71% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% | 24.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.28% | 58.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.07% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-2 @ 7.01% 1-3 @ 4.11% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 9 | 44 | 71 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 51 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 48 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 45 |
| 6 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 41 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | GironaGirona | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Getafe | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | CadizCadiz | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 28 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Valencia | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 26 |
| 19 | Almeria | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 27 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 55 | -36 | 13 |
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