Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
61.34% | 20.66% | 17.99% |
Both teams to score 55.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.59% | 40.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.21% | 62.78% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.29% | 12.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.08% | 38.91% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% | 35.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.28% | 72.72% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 6.84% 3-0 @ 6.68% 4-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-0 @ 3.45% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.46% 5-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.57% Total : 61.34% | 1-1 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 5.09% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 4.93% 0-1 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.58% Total : 17.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 82 | 27 | 55 | 77 |
2 | Marseille | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 54 |
4 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 51 |
5 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 50 |
7 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 48 |
8 | Brest | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 44 |
9 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 42 |
10 | Rennes | 30 | 12 | 2 | 16 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
11 | Auxerre | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 38 |
12 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 34 |
13 | NantesNantes | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 30 |
14 | Angers | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 30 |
15 | Reims | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 33 | 64 | -31 | 27 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 67 | -36 | 24 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22 | 71 | -49 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |