Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.