Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.