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Ligue 1
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II
AJ Auxerre
Monaco
3 - 2
Auxerre
Ben Yedder (11'), Ben Seghir (30'), Embolo (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Abline (68'), da Costa (84')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Monaco
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-0 Auxerre

 Monaco are the second-highest scorers in Ligue 1, while Auxerre have the second-worst defensive record in the division, so the hosts look set to claim a comfortable victory on Wednesday, condemning the visitors to a seventh straight league defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawAuxerre
66.12% (0.127 0.13) 18.84% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 15.04% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.73% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.52% (0.155 0.16)37.49% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.29% (0.16699999999999 0.17)59.71% (-0.165 -0.16)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.45% (0.078000000000003 0.08)10.55% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.72% (0.17 0.17)34.29% (-0.167 -0.17)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (0.012 0.01)37.7% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (0.012 0.01)74.48% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 66.12%
    Auxerre 15.05%
    Draw 18.84%
MonacoDrawAuxerre
2-0 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.24% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.14% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.86% (0.016 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 66.12%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.98% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.84%
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 15.05%

How you voted: Monaco vs Auxerre

Monaco
88.9%
Draw
7.9%
Auxerre
3.2%
63
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 4pm
Auxerre
2-3
Monaco
Niang (30' pen.), Fofana (68' og.)
Jeanvier (34')
Ben Yedder (45+3' pen.), Ben Seghir (58', 85')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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