Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.