PSG may be without a couple of first-team regulars in Kimpembe and Verratti, but with all due respect to Nice, breaking down a backline comprising 38-year-old Dante and 20-year-old newcomer Viti should not be a problem for Messi and co.
Nice have been able to keep things tight in defence throughout the season, but a lack of attacking ingenuity should be their downfall once again, as Galtier gets the last laugh over his former club.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.66%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Nice had a probability of 7.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.54%) and 1-0 (10.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
-0.11) 
0.08) 
