Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.