We said: Nice 1-1 Marseille (Nice wins on penalties)
There is no question that Marseille have plenty of individual quality, but Les Aiglons have done a fantastic job at stifling some of the top strikers in France this season, and we expect them to be stubborn and sharp at the back, which could frustrate Les Olympiens.
These teams have similar qualities defensively, so we do not expect there to be a ton of chances either way, but Nice have shown to be a little more composed and consistent of late in spite of their defeat to Clermont last week.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Nice had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
