

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Nice |
| 32.08% | 26.45% | 41.47% |
| Both teams to score 51.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.25% | 52.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.62% | 74.38% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% | 30.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.09% | 66.9% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% | 25.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.19% | 59.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 10.63% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | MonacoMonaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Brest | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Nice | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Marseille | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Rennes | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Lille | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Metz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Lens | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | Lorient | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Clermont | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 |
| 18 | Lyon | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 2 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
