Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.