Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.