Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 10

Oct 29, 2023 at 2pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Luton

McGinn (17'), Diaby (49'), Lockyer (62' og.)
Zaniolo (28'), Cash (51'), Kamara (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (83' og.)
Kabore (53'), Doughty (75')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa move into fourth position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 3-1 victory over Luton Town at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: AZ 1-4 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Luton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Luton Town
55.11% ( 1.74)	23.23% ( 0.23)	21.66% ( -1.97)

Both teams to score 53.46% (

-3.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.37% (

-3.19)

46.63% (

3.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.11% (

-3.06)

68.9% (

3.06)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.22% (

-0.53)

16.78% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.27% (

-0.95)

46.74% (

0.95)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.25% (

-3.56)

35.76% (

3.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.47% (

-3.85)

72.53% (

3.85)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 55.11%

Luton Town 21.66%

Draw 23.22%

Aston Villa	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 1.2) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.92) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.46) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.15% Total : 55.11%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.49) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.22%	0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.66%