

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Luton Town |
| 33.8% ( | 28.3% ( | 37.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.54% ( | 59.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.18% ( | 79.82% ( |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% | 32.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 30.5% ( | 69.5% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( | 30.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 33.54% ( | 66.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.79% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.39% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 11.9% 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| Q | | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
